:root{color-scheme:dark;--bg:#0b1721;--panel:#101f2a;--panel-hi:#152a35;--line:#2a414e;--ink:#e8edf2;--muted:#a7b7c6;--mint:#a5e4d3;--amber:#ffc36c;--max:1440px}
*{box-sizing:border-box}html{scroll-behavior:smooth;scroll-padding-top:24px}body{margin:0;background:var(--bg);color:var(--ink);font:17px/1.65 system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,"Segoe UI",sans-serif;-webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased}a{color:var(--mint);text-underline-offset:.2em}a:hover{color:white}button,a,summary{-webkit-tap-highlight-color:transparent}a:focus-visible,button:focus-visible,summary:focus-visible{outline:3px solid var(--amber);outline-offset:5px}button{font:inherit}.skip{position:absolute;top:-90px;left:20px;z-index:4;background:var(--amber);color:var(--bg);padding:10px 20px}.skip:focus{top:10px}.wrap{width:min(calc(100% - 64px),var(--max));margin:auto}.site-header{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;gap:28px;min-height:116px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}.identity{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:28px;text-decoration:none;color:var(--ink)}.wordmark{font-size:27px;letter-spacing:-1px;font-weight:750;color:var(--mint)}.brand-description{border-left:1px solid #46616d;padding-left:28px;display:grid;line-height:1.45}.brand-description strong{font-size:18px}.brand-description span{font-size:12px;letter-spacing:.04em;color:var(--muted)}.nav{display:flex;gap:32px}.nav a{position:relative;text-decoration:none;font-size:14px;color:var(--muted);padding:16px 0}.nav a[aria-current=page]{color:white}.nav a[aria-current=page]:after{content:"";position:absolute;bottom:4px;height:2px;background:var(--mint);left:0;right:0}.menu{display:none}.eyebrow,.date,.section-label{font:12px/1.5 ui-monospace,SFMono-Regular,Consolas,monospace;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.11em;color:var(--muted)}.overview{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:7px;background:var(--panel);display:grid;grid-template-columns:42% 58%;margin:28px 0}.forecast-main{padding:28px 36px}.forecast-year{font-size:clamp(40px,4.3vw,65px);font-weight:750;letter-spacing:-.055em;line-height:1.1;color:var(--mint);margin:12px 0 5px}.forecast-sub{margin:0;color:#ccd6df;font-size:17px}.assessment{border-left:1px solid var(--line);align-self:center;padding:0 36px}.assessment h2{color:var(--amber);font-size:25px;line-height:1.35;letter-spacing:-.025em;margin:9px 0}.assessment p{color:var(--muted);font-size:15px;max-width:590px;margin:10px 0 0}.as-of{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);margin:12px 0 0}.layout{display:grid;grid-template-columns:300px minmax(0,1fr);gap:22px;align-items:start;margin:0 0 48px}.archive-sidebar{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px;padding:21px 5px 8px;background:var(--panel);position:sticky;top:22px}.sidebar-title{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;margin:0 18px 20px}.sidebar-title h2{font-size:12px;letter-spacing:.12em;text-transform:uppercase;margin:0}.sidebar-title a{font-size:12px;text-decoration:none}.update-link{display:block;padding:20px 20px 22px;margin:0 0 3px;border-left:4px solid transparent;border-radius:3px;text-decoration:none;color:var(--ink)}.update-link[aria-current=page]{background:var(--panel-hi);border-left-color:var(--mint)}.update-link:hover{background:var(--panel-hi)}.update-link h3{font-size:16px;line-height:1.45;margin:12px 0 8px;letter-spacing:-.015em}.update-link p{font-size:13px;line-height:1.6;color:var(--muted);margin:0}.sidebar-policy{border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding:18px 0 7px;margin:22px 18px 0;color:var(--muted);font-size:12px}.report{min-width:0;background:var(--panel);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px;padding:30px 36px 34px}.report-meta{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px}.badge{font-size:10px;line-height:1.4;color:var(--amber);border:1px solid #b58b4a;padding:5px 8px;letter-spacing:.035em;text-transform:uppercase;border-radius:5px;font-weight:700;white-space:nowrap}.report h1{font-size:clamp(28px,3vw,43px);line-height:1.17;letter-spacing:-.04em;max-width:860px;margin:24px 0 18px}.lede{font-size:clamp(18px,1.65vw,23px);line-height:1.5;color:#c8d5e0;margin:0 0 27px;max-width:840px}.report-intro{border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);padding-bottom:24px;margin-bottom:26px}.report-intro .lede{margin-bottom:18px}.text-link{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-size:14px;font-weight:600;text-decoration:none}.text-link span{font-size:19px}.prose{font-size:17px;line-height:1.85;max-width:850px}.prose p{margin:0 0 19px}.prose h2{color:var(--mint);font-size:23px;line-height:1.35;margin:36px 0 16px;letter-spacing:-.025em}.prose h3{color:var(--mint);font-size:20px;line-height:1.4;margin:30px 0 14px}.prose strong{color:#f3f5f8;font-weight:650}.prose ul,.prose ol{padding-left:25px;margin:18px 0 23px}.prose li{padding-left:4px;margin:8px 0}.prose blockquote{border-left:3px solid var(--mint);padding:3px 0 3px 22px;margin:28px 0;color:#cbdce3}.citation{font:12px/1 ui-monospace,monospace;vertical-align:super;margin-left:3px;text-decoration:none}.citation:target{color:var(--amber)}.import-note{border-left:2px solid #72848f;padding:1px 0 1px 16px;margin:27px 0;color:var(--muted);font-size:13px}.import-note p{margin:8px 0}.sources{border-top:1px solid var(--line);margin-top:34px;padding-top:23px}.sources summary{cursor:pointer;color:var(--mint);font-size:19px;font-weight:650}.sources .source-intro{font-size:13px;color:var(--muted);margin:17px 0}.sources ol{padding:0;list-style:none;counter-reset:refs}.sources li{counter-increment:refs;padding:18px 0;border-top:1px solid var(--line);font-size:14px;scroll-margin-top:24px}.sources li:target{background:#19303a;box-shadow:0 0 0 10px #19303a}.source-heading{display:flex;gap:12px;align-items:baseline}.source-heading:before{content:"[" counter(refs) "]";color:var(--mint);font:12px ui-monospace,monospace}.source-heading strong{font-size:14px}.source-links{padding-left:30px;margin:8px 0}.source-links a{display:block;margin:7px 0}.source-links small{color:var(--muted);font-size:12px}.qualification{font-size:13px;color:var(--muted);padding-left:30px;margin:9px 0 0}.article-nav{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding-top:22px;margin-top:26px;font-size:13px;gap:20px}.article-nav a{text-decoration:none;max-width:48%}.single{max-width:990px;margin:40px auto 60px}.page-title{font-size:42px;line-height:1.2;letter-spacing:-.04em;margin:10px 0 15px}.page-description{color:var(--muted);font-size:18px;margin:0 0 30px}.archive-list{display:grid;gap:15px}.archive-row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:155px 1fr;gap:24px;padding:26px;border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px;background:var(--panel);text-decoration:none;color:var(--ink)}.archive-row:hover{border-color:#718e98}.archive-row h2{font-size:22px;line-height:1.35;letter-spacing:-.02em;margin:0 0 9px}.archive-row p{font-size:15px;color:var(--muted);margin:0}.archive-row .badge{display:inline-block;margin-top:13px}.method{padding:35px;background:var(--panel);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px}.method h2{color:var(--mint);font-size:23px;margin-top:30px}.method p,.method li{color:#cad5de}.method dl{display:grid;grid-template-columns:175px 1fr;gap:12px 25px}.method dt{font-weight:650;color:var(--mint)}.method dd{margin:0;color:#cad5de}.mobile-tabs{display:none}.footer{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;gap:22px;align-items:center;border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding:25px 0 35px;font-size:12px;color:var(--muted)}.footer p{margin:0}.footer-links{display:flex;gap:24px}.footer a{color:var(--muted);text-decoration:none}.reading-time{color:var(--muted);font-size:12px;margin:16px 0 0}.summary-grid{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:14px;margin:26px 0}.summary-cell{border:1px solid var(--line);padding:18px;border-radius:5px}.summary-cell dt{font-size:11px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.08em;color:var(--muted)}.summary-cell dd{margin:5px 0 0;font-weight:600;font-size:16px}.no-script{color:var(--muted);font-size:12px}
@media(min-width:1600px){.wrap{width:min(calc(100% - 120px),var(--max))}.layout{grid-template-columns:320px minmax(0,1fr)}.report{padding:36px 46px}}
@media(max-width:1050px){.brand-description{display:none}.layout{grid-template-columns:240px minmax(0,1fr);gap:17px}.report{padding:26px}.forecast-main{padding:25px}.assessment{padding:0 25px}.assessment h2{font-size:22px}.nav{gap:23px}.prose{font-size:16px}.update-link{padding:17px 15px}.sidebar-title{margin-left:14px;margin-right:14px}}
@media(max-width:760px){.wrap{width:calc(100% - 36px)}.site-header{min-height:85px;position:relative}.wordmark{font-size:23px}.identity{gap:12px}.brand-description{display:none}.menu{display:block;width:42px;height:42px;background:transparent;border:1px solid var(--line);color:var(--ink);border-radius:5px;font-size:21px}.nav{display:none;position:absolute;left:0;right:0;top:77px;background:#142734;z-index:3;flex-direction:column;gap:0;padding:12px 22px;border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:5px;box-shadow:0 15px 45px #0008}.nav.open{display:flex}.nav a{padding:12px 0}.nav a[aria-current=page]:after{display:none}.overview{margin:18px 0 20px;grid-template-columns:1fr}.forecast-main{padding:20px 22px 17px}.forecast-year{font-size:44px;margin:8px 0 4px;letter-spacing:-.05em}.forecast-sub{font-size:14px}.as-of{font-size:11px;margin-top:8px}.assessment{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid var(--line);margin:0 22px;padding:16px 0 20px}.assessment h2{font-size:18px;margin:5px 0 0}.assessment p{font-size:13px;margin-top:6px}.layout{display:block;margin-bottom:30px}.archive-sidebar{display:none}.report{padding:22px 20px 25px}.report h1{font-size:30px;margin-top:22px;line-height:1.2;letter-spacing:-.045em}.report-meta{gap:10px}.date{font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.09em}.badge{font-size:9px;padding:4px 6px}.lede{font-size:18px;line-height:1.6}.report-intro{padding-bottom:20px}.prose{font-size:16px;line-height:1.85}.prose h2{font-size:21px;margin-top:30px}.prose h3{font-size:19px}.prose ul,.prose ol{padding-left:20px}.sources summary{font-size:18px}.source-links,.qualification{padding-left:0}.source-heading{gap:8px}.article-nav{font-size:12px}.footer{align-items:flex-start;flex-direction:column;font-size:11px;padding-bottom:25px}.footer-links{gap:22px}.single{margin:28px auto 40px}.page-title{font-size:34px}.page-description{font-size:16px}.archive-row{grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:12px;padding:22px}.archive-row .date{font-size:12px}.archive-row .badge{margin-top:0;margin-left:10px}.archive-row h2{font-size:21px}.method{padding:23px}.method dl{grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:4px}.method dd{margin-bottom:15px}.summary-grid{grid-template-columns:1fr}.mobile-tabs{display:flex;gap:24px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);margin:0 0 20px;padding-bottom:13px;font-size:13px}.mobile-tabs a{text-decoration:none}.compact-overview .forecast-main{padding:16px 22px}.compact-overview .forecast-year{font-size:35px}.compact-overview .assessment p,.compact-overview .as-of{display:none}.compact-overview .assessment{padding:12px 0 15px}.compact-overview .eyebrow{font-size:10px}}
@media(prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){html{scroll-behavior:auto}}
.forecast-year.long-value{font-size:clamp(25px,2.4vw,36px);line-height:1.25}
.site-header{flex-wrap:wrap;gap:16px 24px;padding:22px 0}.appearance{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:3px;border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px;padding:3px;font-size:12px}.appearance>span{position:absolute;width:1px;height:1px;overflow:hidden;clip-path:inset(50%)}.appearance button{background:transparent;border:0;color:var(--muted);padding:7px 10px;border-radius:3px;cursor:pointer}.appearance button[aria-pressed=true]{background:var(--panel-hi);color:var(--mint)}.site-header .brand-description{display:none}.source-cards{display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(2,minmax(0,1fr));gap:16px;margin:32px 0}.source-card{border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;text-decoration:none;background:var(--bg);color:var(--ink);min-width:0}.source-card img{display:block;width:100%;height:180px;object-fit:cover}.source-card img[hidden],.report-figure img[hidden]{display:none}.source-card>div{padding:18px}.source-card h3{font-size:17px;line-height:1.45;margin:10px 0 14px;color:var(--ink)}.card-link{display:block;font-size:12px;color:var(--mint)}.card-caption{display:block;font-size:13px;color:var(--muted)}.report-figure{margin:30px 0}.report-figure img{display:block;max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:4px}.report-figure figcaption{font-size:13px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:10px}.report-figure figcaption span{display:block;margin-top:5px}.table-scroll{overflow-x:auto;margin:24px 0;max-width:100%}.prose table{border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;font-size:15px;line-height:1.55}.prose td,.prose th{text-align:left;vertical-align:top;padding:13px 15px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);min-width:135px}.prose th{color:var(--mint);font-weight:650;background:var(--panel-hi)}.prose code{overflow-wrap:anywhere}.prose hr{border:0;border-top:1px solid var(--line);margin:30px 0}.prose h4{font-size:18px;color:var(--mint)}
:root[data-theme=journal]{color-scheme:light;--bg:#f6f3ea;--panel:#f6f3ea;--panel-hi:#e9eee3;--line:#c9c9b9;--ink:#24352c;--muted:#667064;--mint:#356c4b;--amber:#496e46;--max:1360px}
[data-theme=journal] body{font-family:Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:18px;line-height:1.75}
[data-theme=journal] a:hover{color:#173e28}
[data-theme=journal] .site-header{border-bottom:2px solid var(--ink);min-height:118px;padding:27px 0}
[data-theme=journal] .wordmark{font-family:Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;font-size:36px;font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:-1.5px;color:var(--ink)}
[data-theme=journal] .nav,[data-theme=journal] .appearance,[data-theme=journal] .eyebrow,[data-theme=journal] .date,[data-theme=journal] .section-label,[data-theme=journal] .badge,[data-theme=journal] .reading-time,[data-theme=journal] .footer,[data-theme=journal] .as-of,[data-theme=journal] .sidebar-title,[data-theme=journal] .sidebar-policy,[data-theme=journal] .text-link,[data-theme=journal] .card-link,[data-theme=journal] .mobile-tabs{font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,"Segoe UI",sans-serif}
[data-theme=journal] .nav a[aria-current=page]{color:var(--ink)}
[data-theme=journal] .overview{border-width:0 0 1px;border-radius:0;background:transparent;margin:28px 0 40px;padding-bottom:24px}
[data-theme=journal] .forecast-main{padding:12px 34px 12px 0}
[data-theme=journal] .forecast-year{font-family:Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:-.05em}
[data-theme=journal] .forecast-sub,[data-theme=journal] .lede,[data-theme=journal] .prose blockquote,[data-theme=journal] .method p,[data-theme=journal] .method dd,[data-theme=journal] .method li{color:#425346}
[data-theme=journal] .assessment h2{font-weight:normal;font-size:27px}
[data-theme=journal] .layout{grid-template-columns:minmax(0,1fr) 280px;gap:48px}
[data-theme=journal] .report{grid-column:1;grid-row:1;background:transparent;border:0;border-radius:0;padding:10px 0 35px}
[data-theme=journal] .archive-sidebar{grid-column:2;grid-row:1;border:0;border-left:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:0;background:transparent;padding:10px 0 0 22px;position:static}
[data-theme=journal] .sidebar-title{margin:0 0 18px}
[data-theme=journal] .update-link{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:0;padding:19px 10px 20px;margin:0}
[data-theme=journal] .update-link h3{font-size:19px;font-weight:normal}
[data-theme=journal] .update-link p{font-size:14px}
[data-theme=journal] .sidebar-policy{margin:20px 10px 0}
[data-theme=journal] .report h1{font-size:clamp(34px,3.5vw,49px);font-weight:normal;letter-spacing:-.035em;line-height:1.17}
[data-theme=journal] .prose{font-size:19px;line-height:1.85}
[data-theme=journal] .prose strong{color:#213b29;font-weight:bold}
[data-theme=journal] .prose h2{font-size:28px;font-weight:normal}
[data-theme=journal] .prose h3{font-size:23px}
[data-theme=journal] .badge{border-color:#9daa92;border-radius:0;font-weight:500}
[data-theme=journal] .import-note{font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,"Segoe UI",sans-serif;font-size:12px;border-color:#abb39e;max-width:780px}
[data-theme=journal] .sources li:target{background:#e9eee3;box-shadow:0 0 0 10px #e9eee3}
[data-theme=journal] .source-card,[data-theme=journal] .source-card img,[data-theme=journal] .method,[data-theme=journal] .summary-cell{border-radius:0}
[data-theme=journal] .source-card h3{font-size:20px;font-weight:normal}
[data-theme=journal] .source-card .section-label{font-size:10px}
[data-theme=journal] .page-title{font-weight:normal;font-size:48px}
[data-theme=journal] .archive-list{gap:0}
[data-theme=journal] .archive-row{background:transparent;border-width:1px 0 0;border-radius:0;padding:28px 0;grid-template-columns:175px 1fr}
[data-theme=journal] .archive-row h2{font-size:27px;font-weight:normal}
[data-theme=journal] .method{border:0;padding:0}
[data-theme=journal] .method h2{font-size:28px;font-weight:normal}
@media(max-width:1050px){.site-header .nav{margin-left:auto}.appearance{margin-left:auto}[data-theme=journal] .layout{grid-template-columns:minmax(0,1fr) 235px;gap:28px}[data-theme=journal] .archive-sidebar{padding-left:17px}}
@media(max-width:760px){.site-header{gap:10px;padding:15px 0}.site-header .menu{margin-left:auto}.appearance{width:100%;justify-content:flex-end;border:0;padding:0;margin:0 0 0 auto}.appearance>span{position:static;width:auto;height:auto;clip-path:none;overflow:visible;margin-right:auto;color:var(--muted);font-size:11px}.appearance button{padding:7px 12px;font-size:12px;border:1px solid var(--line)}.nav{top:65px;background:var(--panel-hi)}.source-cards{grid-template-columns:1fr}.source-card img{height:auto;max-height:240px;object-fit:cover}[data-theme=journal] .site-header{min-height:0;padding:20px 0 16px}[data-theme=journal] .wordmark{font-size:30px}[data-theme=journal] .overview{margin:20px 0 28px;padding-bottom:20px}[data-theme=journal] .forecast-main{padding:4px 0 15px}[data-theme=journal] .assessment{margin:0;padding:16px 0 0}[data-theme=journal] .assessment h2{font-size:21px}[data-theme=journal] .layout{display:block}[data-theme=journal] .report{padding:0 0 25px}[data-theme=journal] .report h1{font-size:35px;line-height:1.15}[data-theme=journal] .prose{font-size:18px;line-height:1.85}[data-theme=journal] .prose h2{font-size:26px}[data-theme=journal] .prose h3{font-size:22px}[data-theme=journal] .lede{font-size:20px}[data-theme=journal] .archive-row{grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:14px;padding:25px 0}[data-theme=journal] .archive-row h2{font-size:25px}[data-theme=journal] .page-title{font-size:39px}[data-theme=journal] .compact-overview .forecast-main{padding:0 0 15px}[data-theme=journal] .compact-overview .assessment{padding:13px 0 0}}
@media print{:root{color-scheme:light}body{background:#fff;color:#111;font-size:11pt}.wrap{width:100%}.site-header,.nav,.archive-sidebar,.overview,.footer,.mobile-tabs,.article-nav,.menu{display:none}.layout{display:block}.report,.method{background:white;border:0;padding:0}.prose,.prose p,.prose strong,.report h1,.lede,.prose h2,.prose h3,.sources,.date,.qualification,.import-note{color:#111}.sources{display:block}.sources>*{display:block}.source-links a{color:#111}.source-links a:after{content:" (" attr(href) ")";font-size:9pt;overflow-wrap:anywhere}.report h1{font-size:25pt}.badge{color:#111;border-color:#aaa}}
